Publications
Shope J.B., Robinson D., Gerbush M., Muldowney R., Oudemans P. “Predictive models of highbush blueberry development from winter chilling and spring warming.” In prep.
Shope J.B., McDonnell, J., Kociolek, B., Kaplan, M. “Building Interdisciplinary Climate Connections (BICC): a subject-spanning and inquiry-based approach to climate change.” The Science Teacher. Submitted.
Cornish A., Alguera A.*, Shope J., Broccoli, A., Yates, J. “Diverse Indicators of Climate Change for New Jersey and Southeastern New York State.” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. In Review.
Storlazzi CD, Reguero BG, Alkins KC, Shope JB, Gaido-Lassarre C, Viehman TS, Beck MW. 2025. “Hybrid coral reef restoration can be a cost-effective nature-based solution to provide protection to vulnerable coastal populations.” Sci Adv. 2025 Jan 17;11(3). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adn4004
Shope J., Salazar-Mendoza, P., Ben-Zvi, Y., Rodriguez-Saona C., 2024 “Refining Degree-Day Models for Sparganothis Fruitworm in Cranberry by Biofix and Variety.” Horticulturae, 10, 1346. https://doi.org/10.3390/horticulturae10121346.
Shope J.B., Polk D., Mansue Denson C., Rodriguez-Saona C., 2023. “The role of climate variation on the phenological shifts of a native and an invasive insect pest.” PLOS ONE 18(4): e0284600. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0284600
Shope J.B., L.H. Erikson, P. Barnard, C.D. Storlazzi, K. Serafin, K.J. Doran, H.F. Stockdon, B.G. Reguero, F. Mendez, S. Castanedo, A. Cid, L. Cagigal, P. Ruggerio, 2022. “Characterizing Storm-Induced Coastal Change Hazards Along the United States West Coast.” Nature Scientific Data, 9(224). https://doi-org.proxy.libraries.rutgers.edu/10.1038/s41597-022-01313-6
Reguero B.G., C.D. Storlazzi, A.E. Gibbs, J.B. Shope, A.D Cole, K.A. Cumming, M.W. Beck, 2021. “The value of US coral reefs for flood risk reduction.” Nature Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00706-6
Shope J.B. and C.D. Storlazzi, 2019. “Assessing morphologic controls on atoll island alongshore sediment transport gradients due to future sea-level rise.” Frontiers in Marine Science, 6(245). https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00245
Shope J.B., C.D. Storlazzi, R.K. Hoeke, 2017. “Projected atoll shoreline and run-up changes in response to sea-level rise and varying large wave conditions at Wake and Midway Atolls, Northwestern Hawaiian Islands.” Geomorphology, 295: 537–550. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2017.08.002
Shope J.B., C.D. Storlazzi, L.H. Erikson, C.A. Hegermiller, 2016. “Changes to extreme wave climates of islands within the Western Tropical Pacific throughout the 21st century under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, with implications for island vulnerability and sustainability.” Global and Planetary Change, 141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.03.009
Shope, J.B., Storlazzi, C.D., Erikson, L.H., Hegermiller, C.A., 2015. “Modeled Changes in Extreme Wave Climates of the Tropical Pacific over the 21st Century: Implications for U.S. and U.S.-Affiliated Atoll Islands” in Wang, P., Rosati, J.D., and Cheng, J., eds., Proceedings of the Coastal Sediments 2015, v. 1: Hackensack, N.J., World Scientific Publishing, 13 p. doi: 10.1142/9789814689977_0247
Peer-reviewed scientific reports:
Davies, K.*, Shope J., Broccoli A., Gerbush M., Kaplan M., Robinson, D., Nikolopoulos, E., Araujo, D., Kopp, R., Herb, J. & Spector, A. 2025. “State of the Climate: New Jersey 2024.” Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ.
Wamsher, I.*, Shope J., Broccoli A., Gerbush M., Herb J., Kaplan M., Kohut, J., Saba, G., Garzio, L., Nazzaro, L., Robinson, D. 2024. “State of the Climate: New Jersey 2023.” Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ.
Shope J., Alguera A., Broccoli A., Gerbush M., Herb J., Kaplan M., Marxen L., Rodriguez-Saona, C., Robinson D. 2023. “State of the Climate: New Jersey 2022.” Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ.
Shope J., Broccoli A., Frei B., Gerbush M., Herb J., Kaplan M., Langer E., Marxen L., Robinson D. 2022. “State of the Climate: New Jersey 2021.” Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ.
Storlazzi C.D., B.G. Reguero, K.A. Cumming, A.D. Cole, J.B. Shope, C.L. Gaido, T.S. Viehman, B.A. Nickel, M.W. Beck, 2021. “Rigorously valuing the coastal hazard risks reduction provided by coral reef restoration in Florida and Puerto Rico.” U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report. https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20211054
Storlazzi C.D., B.G. Reguero, T.S. Viehman, K.A. Cumming, A.D. Cole, J.B. Shope, S.H. Groves, C.L. Gaido, B.A. Nickel, M.W. Beck, 2021. “Rigorously valuing the impact of Hurricanes Irma and Maria on coastal hazard risks in Florida and Puerto Rico.” U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report. https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20211056
Storlazzi C.D., B.G. Reguero, K.K. Yates, K.A. Cumming, A.D. Cole, J.B. Shope, C.L. Gaido, D.G. Zawada, S.R. Arsenault, Z.W. Fehr, B.A. Nickel, M.W. Beck, 2021. “Rigorously Valuing the Impact of Coral Reef Degradation on Coastal Hazard Risk in Florida.” U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20211055
Storlazzi C.D., B.G. Reguero, A.D. Cole, E. Lowe, J.B. Shope, A.E. Gibbs, B.A. Nickel, R.T. McCall, A.R. van Dongeren, M.W. Beck, 2019. “Rigorously valuing the role of U.S. coral reefs in coastal hazard risk reduction” U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2019–1027. https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20191027
Storlazzi C.D., J.B. Shope, L.H. Erikson, C.A. Hegermiller, P.L. Barnard, 2015. “Future wave and wind projections for United States and United States-affiliated Pacific Islands.” U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2015–1001. https://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ofr20151001
Other scientific reports:
Shope J.B., R. Kopp, M. Kaplan, J. Herb, A. Spector, 2024. “Background and Comparison of New Jersey’s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets with the United States’ Targets and Projected Global Reduction Pathways Consistent with the Paris Agreement.” New Jersey climate Change Resource Center, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ.
Simon, J.E., D.K. Seidel, R. Govindasamy, O. Schofield, M. Balick, E. Merchant, S. Arumugan, M. Kostka, H. K. Yamada, E. Ioanis, E. Joseph, F. Sohl Obispo, A. George, E. Gomes, E. Schoolman, H. Floyd, M.R. Nakayama, S. Courtney Stinnett-Benito, G. Poll-Serious, T. Mondale, C. Yowbalaw, M. Wiencek, W. Mudong, M. Tiningmow, N. Khanna, L. Brindisi, J. Shope, M. Seidel, M. Zorde, D. Hoffman, M. De Luca, 2023. “Baseline Assessment in Support of Climate Resilient Food Security for Farming Households across the Federated States of Micronesia. Technical Report” submitted by Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey. to the Micronesia Conservation Trust, Federated States of Micronesia and the Green Climate Fund. January 30, 2024. 481 pages
Presentations and Outreach
Shope J.B. July 14, 2025. Climate Change 101. Expanding Access to Climate Change Education and the New Jersey Student Learning Standards through Climate Change Learning Collaboratives Professional Development Session. ~20 in Audience. Talk. Evaluated.
Shope J.B. June 26, 2025. Climate Change 101. Expanding Access to Climate Change Education and the New Jersey Student Learning Standards through Climate Change Learning Collaboratives Professional Development Session. Talk.
Shope J.B. June 18, 2025. Climate Change and its Relevance to Warren County NJ. Warren County Environmental Advisory Committee. ~20 in Audience. Talk (invited). Evaluated.
Shope J.B. April 8, 2025. Introduction to Climate Change. Rutgers Environmental Stewards. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. and Marxen L. November 18, 2024. Climate Science: What the Models Predict for NJ. For the New Jersey Agricultural Leadership Development Program. ~20 in Audience. Talk (invited).
Cohen E., Kociolek B., Shope J.B. November 13, 2024. Climate Change Workshop for Educators Grades 6–12. Center for Mathematics, Science, and Computer Education, Rutgers University. ~15 participants
Co-led workshop design, materials development, speaker and subject matter expert
2024 4-H STEM Ambassadors Sustainability Summit. November 8, 2024.
Shope J.B. October 26, 2024. U.S. Climate Change – Keynote. Rutgers Environmental Stewards Impact Summit. ~50 in Audience. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. October 24, 2024. New Jersey Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Hazards. Rutgers Earth Day Every Day Seminar. ~36 in Audience Talk (invited). Evaluated.
Cohen E., Kociolek B., Shope J.B. October 16, 2024. Climate Change Workshop for Educators Grades 6–12. Center for Mathematics, Science, and Computer Education, Rutgers University. ~15 participants
Co-led workshop design, materials development, speaker and subject matter expert
McDonnell J., Shope J.B., Cohen E., Kociolek B., Kaplan M., Staffen M., Newman M. August 5–8, 2024. Climate and Data Literacy Summer Institute. Workshop for 24 Middle and High School teachers. (Workshop)
–Shope J.B., “Climate Change in New Jersey” and Building Interdisciplinary Climate Connections Activity (Presentation and guided activity)
–Shope J.B., “Sea-Level Rise in New Jersey” (Presentation)
-Assistance with developing and administering workshop
Shope J.B. August 14, 2024. U.S. Climate Change and Health. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services National Training Program Workshop, Woodbridge, NJ. ~36 in Audience. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B., Broccoli A., Garzio, L., Robinson, D. July 9, 2024. “State of the Climate: New Jersey 2023.” Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center – Climate Academy. ~300 people Webinar.
Shope J.B. June 9, 2024. Climate Change in New Jersey. Presentation to Metuchen High School. ~20 Students and Teachers. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. May 8, 2024. Climate Change and Health Focus on New Jersey. New Jersey Association of County and City Health Officials Workshop, Galloway, NJ. Talk (invited). ~20 participants
Shope J.B. April 3, 2024. New Jersey Climate Change: Past and Projected Changes. Rutgers University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Seminar, Piscataway, NJ. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. March 27, 2024. Interdisciplinary Approaches to Discussing Climate Change. National Extension Climate Initiative Connecting Climate to Communities Webinar Series ~35 attendees. Talk. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=toW6dpYt5hM
Shope J.B. February 27, 2024. Introduction to Climate Change. Rutgers Environmental Stewards Seminar. ~100 attendees. Talk (invited). Evaluations Included.
Shope J.B. February 17, 2024. Climate Change and Community Vulnerability. Rutgers Department of Environmental Sciences Weather and Climate Day. Talk.
Shope J.B. December 9, 2023. Heat Vulnerability across New Jersey: Monitoring of Urban Heat in Camden. Race, Faith, and Climate Change: Recent Scholarship on Environmental Racism and Social Justice. Protecting Human Rights, Human Dignity, and the Environment 75 Years of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights Workshop. Montclair State University. Talk and Panel (invited).
Shope J.B. November 29, 2023. Heat Vulnerability across New Jersey: Monitoring of Urban Heat in Camden. Cooling Urban Heat: Strategies for a Resilient Future session. New York – New Jersey Harbor & Estuary Program
2023 State of the Estuary Conference. Talk (invited).
2023 4-H STEM Ambassadors Sustainability Summit. November 10, 2023.
Co-led and facilitated day-long workshop design, provided high school stem ambassadors with climate change overview, designed and co-led climate change and agriculture engagement activities for students
Shope J.B. November 8, 2023. Valuing U.S. Coral Reefs for Coastal Hazard Risk Reduction and an Introduction to the New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center. Stevens Institute of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Ocean Engineering Seminar, Hoboken, NJ. Talk (invited).
Cohen E., Kociolek B., Shope J.B. June 2023. Climate Change Workshop for Educators Grades 6–12. Center for Mathematics, Science, and Computer Education; New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center
Science Engineering & Technology, Rutgers University.
Co-led workshop design, materials development, speaker and subject matter expert
Cohen E., Kociolek B., Shope J.B., Ferraro C., McDonnell J, Kaplan M. April 2023. Climate Change Workshop for Educators Grades 6–12. Center for Mathematics, Science, and Computer Education; New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center; Math & Science Learning Center; Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences
Science Engineering & Technology, Rutgers University.
Workshop design, materials development, speaker coordination, speaker and subject matter expert, day-of coordination
Shope J.B. March 2023. New Jersey Climate Change Training. New Jersey Envirothon. Training (invited).
Shope J.B. and Bamhrah P. March 2023. The New Jersey Heat Vulnerability Index. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center – Climate Academy. Webinar.
Shope J.B. and Rodriguez-Saona C. March 2023. Climate Effects on Two Blueberry Insect Pests. Blueberry Open House, Rutgers New Jersey Agricultural Experiment Station. Talk.
Shope J.B. March 2023. Climate Change in New Jersey. Coasts, Oceans, Ports & Rivers Institute – American Society of Civil Engineers, North Jersey Meeting. Talk (invited).
Kociolek B. and Shope J.B. Feb 2023. Climate Change for All: Climate Change and Science Professional Development for K-12 Teachers. Bergen County Technical Schools. Training (invited).
Shope J.B. Jan 2023. New Jersey Climate 101. Climate Change Resilience 101 – An introduction to climate change resilience principles and planning for local decision-makers. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center Resiliency Training. Talk and Training (invited).
Kociolek B. and Shope J.B. Jan 2023. Climate Change for All: Climate Change and Science Professional Development for K-12 Teachers. Holmdel Township Public Schools. Training (invited).
Shope J.B. and Rodriguez-Saona C. Jan 2023. Refining a Degree-Model for Sparganothis Fruitworm. American Cranberry Growers Association Winter 2023 Meeting. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Dec 2022. New Jersey Climate Change. Rotary Metro Club of New Jersey, December 19 Meeting. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B., Marxen L. Nov 2022. New Jersey Climate Change and Projected Impacts on Agriculture. New Jersey Agricultural Leadership Development Program Nov 14th Seminar. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Oct 2022. Adapting to Climate Change in New Jersey: Tools at the New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center. American Water Works Association, New Jersey Section Fall 2022 Meeting. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Oct 2022. State of the Climate: New Jersey 2021. New Jersey Volunteer Organizations Active in Disaster 2022 Inspiring Engagement – From the Ground Up Conference. Talk (invited).
Ferraro C., Shope J.B., and Dooley L. Oct 2022 ABCs of Climate Change. New Jersey Science Convention 2022. Co-presenter.
Marxen L., Shope J.B., Herb J., Kaplan M., Tropiano V., Bamhrah P., Fogliano J., Stuart M., Lathrop R. Sep 2022. Rutgers University Public Health NJADAPT Training. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center. Training.
Marxen L., Shope J.B., Herb J., Kaplan M., Tropiano V., Bamhrah P., Fogliano J., Stuart M., Auermuller L. Sep 2022. NJADAPT County Planner Training. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center. Training.
Shope J.B. Sep 2022. Helping NJ Adapt to a Changing World: Overview on the Climate Resource Center at Rutgers University. NJ Water Environment Association 2022 Technology Transfer Seminar. Talk (invited).
Marxen L., Shope J.B., Herb J., Kaplan M., Bamhrah P., Fogliano J., Stuart M., Lathrop R. Aug 2022. NJADAPT New Jersey Association of Floodplain Managers Training. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center. Training.
Marxen L., Shope J.B., Herb J., Kaplan M., Bamhrah P., Fogliano J., Stuart M., Lathrop R. Jul 2022. NJADAPT Training – Association of NJ Environmental Commissioners and Green Team Members. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center. Training.
Shope J.B. Jul 2022. Climate Change and Hurricanes: New Jersey. New Jersey Hurricane Season – a Virtual Panel on Impacts, Costs, and Cost Recovery. Leaders for Climate Accountability. Panelist (invited).
Shope J.B. May 2022. The State of the Climate: New Jersey 2022. American Council of Engineering Companies of New Jersey, 2nd Annual Climate Change Summit. Keynote Speaker. Talk (invited).
Shope J., Broccoli A, Robinson D. May 2022. State of the Climate: New Jersey 2021. New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center – Climate Academy. Webinar.
Shope J.B. Apr 2022. The State of the Climate in 2022. USDA – Natural Resources Conservation Service, Technical Tuesday. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Mar 2022. Sea-Level Rise and New Jersey. Sierra Club New Jersey Chapter, Jersey Shore Group Science Monday meeting. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Feb 2022. The State of the Climate in 2022. Suburban Woman’s Club of South Plainfield monthly meeting. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Nov 2021. Climate Change in New Jersey and Action by 2030. New Jersey Higher Education Partnership for Sustainability. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Oct 2021. Climate Change in New Jersey and Classroom Resources. New Jersey Association of Independent Schools. Talk and Panel Discussion (invited).
Shope J.B. Oct 2021. The State of the Climate in 2021. Sierra Club New Jersey Chapter monthly meeting. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Sep 2021. Soil health and climate change. NJAES/NRCS Soil and Health Field Day. Rutgers New Jersey Agricultural Experiment station. Talk (invited).
Shope J.B. Feb 2019. Rigorously valuing the role of U.S. coral reefs in coastal hazard risk reduction. Temple Earth & Environmental Science Department Seminar, Philadelphia, PA. Talk (invited).