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Recent Publications

  1. Singh, Jyoti, Sandeep Sahany, K. K. Singh, Alan Robock, and Lili Xia, 2024: Future climate change impacts on rice in Uttar Pradesh, India’s most populous agrarian state. Earth’s Future, 12, e2023EF004009, doi:10.1029/2023EF004009.   PDF file
  2. Visioni, Daniele, Alan Robock, Jim Haywood, Matthew Henry, Simone Tilmes, Douglas G. MacMartin, Ben Kravitz, Sarah J. Doherty, John Moore, Chris Lennard, Shingo Watanabe, Helene Muri, Ulrike Niemeier, Olivier Boucher, Abu Syed, Temitope S. Egbebiyi, Roland Séférian, and Ilaria Quaglia, 2024: G6-1.5K-SAI: a new Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) experiment integrating recent advances in solar radiation modification studies. Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 2583-2596, doi:10.5194/gmd-17-2583-2024.    PDF file
  3. Rabin, Sam S., William J. Sacks, Danica L. Lombardozzi, Lili Xia, and Alan Robock, 2023: Observation-based sowing dates and cultivars significantly affect yield and irrigation for some crops in the Community Land Model (CLM5). Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 7253–7273, doi:10.5194/gmd-16-7253-2023.   PDF file
  4. Clark, Brendan, Lili Xia, Alan Robock, Simone Tilmes, Jadwiga H. Richter, and Daniele Visioni, 2023: The optimal climate intervention scenario for crop production varies by nation. Nature Food, 4, doi:10.1038/s43016-023-00853-3.   PDF file
  5. Robock, Alan, Lili Xia, Cheryl S. Harrison, Joshua Coupe, Owen B. Toon, and Charles G. Bardeen, 2023: Opinion: How nuclear winter has saved the world, so far. Atm. Chem. Phys., 23, 6691-6701, doi:10.5194/acp-23-6691-2023.   PDF file
  6. Visioni, Daniele, Ben Kravitz, Alan Robock, Simone Tilmes, Jim M. Haywood, Olivier Boucher, Mark Lawrence, Peter Irvine, Ulrike Niemeier, Lili Xia, Gabriel Chiodo, Chris Lennard, Shingo Watanabe, John C. Moore, and Helene Muri, 2023: Opinion: The scientific and community-building roles of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) – Past, present, and future. Atm. Chem. Phys., 23, 5149-5176, doi:10.5194/acp-23-5149-2023.  PDF file
  7. Visioni, Daniele, Alan Robock, Alistair Duffey, and Ilaria Quaglia, 2023: Process-level experiments and policy-relevant scenarios in future GeoMIP iterations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E501-E503, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0281.1.   PDF file
  8. Coupe, Joshua, Cheryl Harrison, Alan Robock, Alice DuVivier, Elizabeth Maroon, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Scott Bachman, Laura Landrum, and Charles Bardeen, 2023: Sudden reduction of Antarctic sea ice despite cooling after nuclear war. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 128, e2022JC018774, doi:10.1029/2022JC018774.  PDF file
  9. Xia, Lili, Alan Robock, Kim Scherrer, Cheryl S. Harrison, Jonas Jägermeyr, Charles G. Bardeen, Owen B. Toon, and Ryan Heneghan, 2022: Global food insecurity and famine from reduced crop, marine fishery and livestock production due to climate disruption from nuclear war soot injection. Nature Food, 3, 586-996, doi:10.1038/s43016-022-00573-0.  PDF file
  10. Harrison, Cheryl S., Tyler Rohr, Alice DuVivier, Elizabeth A. Maroon, Scott Bachman, Charles G. Bardeen, Joshua Coupe, Victoria Garza, Ryan Heneghan, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Philipp Neubauer, Victor Rangel, Alan Robock, Kim Scherrer, Samantha Stevenson, and Owen B. Toon, 2022: A new ocean state after nuclear war. AGU Advances, 3, e2021AV000610, doi:10.1029/2021AV000610.    PDF file
  11. Liu, Fei, Chaochao Gao, Jing Chai, Alan Robock, Bin Wang, Jinbao Li, Xu Zhang, Gang Huang, and Wenjie Dong, 2022: Tropical volcanism enhanced the East Asian summer monsoon during the last millennium. Nature Communications, 13, 3429, doi:10.1038/s41467-022-31108-7.    PDF file
  12. Carlson, Colin J., Rita Colwell, Mohammad Sharif Hossain, Mohammed Mofizur Rahman, Alan Robock, Sadie J. Ryan, Mohammad Shafiul Alam, and Christopher H. Trisos, 2022: Solar geoengineering could redistribute malaria risk in developing countries. Nature Communications, 13, 2150, doi:10.1038/s41467-022-29613-w.   PDF file
  13. Visioni, Daniele, and Alan Robock, 2022: Future geoengineering scenarios: Balancing policy relevance and scientific significance, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E817-E820, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0201.1.  PDF file
  14. Robock, Alan, and Stewart C. Prager, 2021: Geoscientists can help reduce the threat of nuclear weapons, Eos, 102, doi:10.1029/2021EO210633. Published on 2 December 2021.  Link
  15. Gao, Chaochao, Francis Ludlow, Al Matthews, Alexander R. Stine, Alan Robock, Yuqing Pan, Richard Breen, Brianán Nolan, and Michael Sigl, 2021: Volcanic climate impacts can act as ultimate and proximate causes of Chinese dynastic collapse. Communications Earth & Environment, 2, 234, doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00284-7.  PDF file
  16. Bardeen, Charles G., Douglas E. Kinnison, Owen B. Toon, Michael J. Mills, Francis Vitt, Lili Xia, Jonas Jägermeyr, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Kim J. N. Scherrer, Margot Clyne, and Alan Robock, 2021: Extreme ozone loss following nuclear war resulting in enhanced surface ultraviolet radiation. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, e2021JD035079, doi:10.1029/2021JD035079.   PDF file
  17. Coupe, Joshua, and Alan Robock, 2021: The influence of stratospheric soot and sulfate aerosols on the Northern Hemisphere wintertime atmospheric circulation. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, e2020JD034513, doi:10.1029/2020JD034513.   PDF file
  18. Banerjee, Antara, Amy H. Butler, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Alan Robock, Isla R. Simpson, and Lantao Sun, 2021: Robust winter warming over Eurasia under stratospheric sulfate geoengineering – the role of stratospheric dynamics. Atm. Chem. Phys., 21, 6985-6997, doi:10.5194/acp-21-6985-2021.    PDF file
  19. Zarnetske, Phoebe L., Jessica Gurevitch, Janet Franklin, Peter Groffman, Cheryl Harrison, Jessica Hellmann, Forrest M. Hoffman, Shan Kothari, Alan Robock, Simone Tilmes, Daniele Visioni, Jin Wu, Lili Xia, and Cheng-En Yang, 2021: Potential ecological impacts of climate intervention by reflecting sunlight to cool the Earth. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 118 (15), e1921854118, doi:10.1073/pnas.1921854118.     PDF file
  20. Clyne, Margot, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Michael J. Mills, Myriam Khodri, William Ball, Slimane Bekki, Sandip S. Dhomse, Nicholas Lebas, Graham Mann, Lauren Marshall, Ulrike Niemeier, Virginie Poulain, Alan Robock, Eugene Rozanov, Anja Schmidt, Andrea Stenke, Timofei Sukhodolov, Claudia Timmreck, Matthew Toohey, Fiona Tummon, Davide Zanchettin, Yunqian Zhu, and Owen B. Toon, 2021: Model physics and chemistry causing intermodel disagreement within the VolMIP-Tambora Interactive Stratospheric Aerosol ensemble. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 3317-3343, doi:10.5194/acp-21-3317-2021.     PDF file
  21. Eastham, Sebastian, Sarah Doherty, David Keith, Jadwiga H. Richter, and Lili Xia, 2021:  Improving models for solar climate intervention research, Eos, 102, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EO156087.
  22. Kravitz, Ben, Douglas G. MacMartin, Daniele Visioni, Olivier Boucher, Jason N. S. Cole, Jim Haywood, Andy Jones, Thibaut Lurton, Pierre Nabat, Ulrike Niemeier, Alan Robock, Roland Séférian, and Simone Tilmes, 2021: Comparing different generations of idealized solar geoengineering simulations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 4231-4247, doi:10.5194/acp-21-4231-2021.  PDF file
  23. Jones, Andy, Jim M. Haywood, Anthony C. Jones, Simone Tilmes, Ben Kravitz, and Alan Robock, 2021: North Atlantic Oscillation response in GeoMIP experiments G6solar and G6sulfur: Why detailed modelling is needed for understanding regional implications of solar radiation management. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 1287-1304, doi:/10.5194/acp-21-1287-2021.    PDF file
  24. Coupe, Joshua, Samantha Stevenson, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Tyler Rohr, Cheryl S. Harrison, Alan Robock, Holly Olivarez, Charles G. Bardeen, and Owen B. Toon, 2021: Nuclear Niño response observed in simulations of nuclear war scenarios. Communications Earth & Environment, 2, 18, doi:10.1038/s43247-020-00088-1.   PDF file
  25. Robock, Alan, 2020: Benefits and risks of stratospheric solar radiation management for climate intervention (geoengineering). The Bridge, 50, 59-67. (invited paper)    PDF file    [See Table 2 for the latest list of benefits and risks or concerns (28 of them) of stratospheric geoengineering.]
  26. Robock, Alan, 2020: Making your own luck: A meaningful career from being open to opportunities. Perspectives of Earth and Space Scientists, 1, e2020CN000133, doi:10.1029/2020CN000133.     PDF file
  27. Robock, Alan, 2020: Comment on “No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium.” Science, 369 (6509), eabc0502, doi:10.1126/science.abc0502.    PDF file
  28. Scherrer, Kim J. N., Cheryl S. Harrison, Ryan Heneghan, Eric Galbraith, Charles G. Bardeen, Jonas Jägermeyr, Nicole S. Lovenduski, August Luna, Alan Robock, Jessica Stevens, Samantha Stevenson, Owen B. Toon, and Lili Xia, 2020: Marine wild-capture fisheries after nuclear war. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 117(47), 29,748-29,758, doi:10.1073/pnas.2008256117.    PDF file
  29. Tilmes, Simone, Douglas G. MacMartin, Jan T. M. Lenaerts, Leo van Kampenhout, Laura Muntjewerf, Lili Xia, Cheryl S. Harrison, Kristen Krumhardt, Michael J. Mills, Ben Kravitz, and Alan Robock, 2020: Reaching 1.5 and 2.0°C global surface temperature targets using stratospheric aerosol geoengineering in CMIP6. Earth System Dynamics, 11, 579-601, doi:10.5194/esd-11-579-2020.    PDF file
  30. Xu, Y., Lin, L., Tilmes, S., Dagon, K., Xia, L., Diao, C., Cheng, W., Wang, Z., Simpson, I., and Burnell, L., 2020: Climate engineering to mitigate the projected 21st-century terrestrial drying of the Americas: a direct comparison of carbon capture and sulfur injection, Earth System Dynamics, 11, 673-695, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-673-2020.
  31. Singh, Jyoti, Sandeep Sahany, and Alan Robock, 2020: Can stratospheric geoengineering alleviate global-warming-induced changes in deciduous fruit cultivation? The case of Himachal Pradesh (India). Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02786-3.      PDF file
  32. Visioni, D., Slessarev, E., MacMartin, D. G., Mahowald, N. M., Goodale, C. L., and Xia, L., (2020), What goes up must come down: Impacts of deposition in a sulfate geoengineering scenario, Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9), https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab94eb.
  33. Kravitz, Ben, Alan Robock, and John C. Moore, 2020: New frontiers in geoengineering research. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E87-E89, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0327.1.    PDF file
  34. Yang, C.-E., Hoffman, F., Ricciuto, D. M., Tilmes, S., Xia, L., MacMartin, D. G., Kravitz, B., Richter, J. H., Mills, M., and Fu, J. S., 2020: Assessing terrestrial biogeochemical feedbacks in a strategically geoengineered climate, Environmental Research Letters, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abacf7, in press.
  35. Jägermeyr, Jonas, Alan Robock, Joshua Elliott, Christoph Müller, Lili Xia, Nikolay Khabarov, Christian Folberth, Erwin Schmid, Wenfeng Liu, Florian Zabel, Sam S. Rabin, Michael J. Puma, Alison C. Heslin, James Franke, Ian Foster, Senthold Asseng, Charles G. Bardeen, Owen B. Toon, and Cynthia Rosenzweig, 2020: A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 117, 7071-7081, doi:10.1073/pnas.1919049117.    PDF file
  36. Lovenduski, Nicole S., Cheryl S. Harrison, Holly Olivarez, Charles G. Bardeen, Owen B. Toon, Joshua Coupe, Alan Robock, Tyler Rohr, and Samantha Stevenson, 2020: The potential impact of nuclear conflict on ocean acidification. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL086246, doi:10.1029/2019GL086246.    PDF file